Toronto’s gravity-defying condo market continues to set records. Over 6,000 freshly built condos were sold in Toronto in the first quarter of 2012, the highest number for the January-to-March quarter ever, according to the latest stats from Urbanation. On average, condos are getting smaller and more expensive (makes urban living sound delightful, doesn’t it?), and Toronto had 338 active projects in the first quarter, compared to 284 for the same period last year. Stephen Diamond, CEO of developer Diamondcorp, told the Globe and Mail that he’s so confident about the market he’s raised $130 million for more condo construction. “We’re not supplying too many units,” he said, saying that immigration trends and a slowdown in single-home construction should keep demand for condos strong. Still, speculation about a slowdown continues—Finance Minister Jim Flaherty expressed concern over Toronto’s condo market earlier this year, suggesting that developers seem willing to build new development right up until the bubble bursts—and based on Diamond’s comments, he’s probably right. To recap: the condo boom is inspiring both optimism and anxiety…just like it did last year. [Globe and Mail]
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Bubble be damned, Toronto just keeps on building more condos
Toronto’s condo boom is still barrelling forward—the number of buildings starting construction surged in the first quarter of 2012, and the 148 skyscrapers and high-rises currently under construction in Toronto easily outnumber those of any other North American city (including New York and Chicago). The question, as always, is, can the hot market last? Experts quoted on Moneyville.ca worry that supply will outpace demand (the forest of cranes dotting the skyline would suggest as much) and that investors aren’t snapping up units as quickly as they used to. However, an analyst cited by the Globe and Mail believes a dearth of detached homes, not just speculators, is driving demand for condos. With such a steady stream of contradictory opinions, there’s only one prediction that seems rock solid: there will be more condos. So many more condos. Read the entire story [Globe and Mail] »
Why Roger Martin believes the corporate world needs to be overhauled—starting with excessive CEO compensation
The head of Toronto’s most prestigious business school has a seditious idea, and it might save us from financial catastrophe

(Image: Daniel Ehrenworth)
Last fall’s Occupy Toronto protest was more of an idea than a place, a kind of free-floating rage against what is perceived as an unjust, morally skewed, out-of-control, soul-sucking machine. The number of protesters ranged from a few hundred people to 3,000, depending on the day, and the camp at St. James Park possessed a vibe similar to Occupy camps around the world. Gordon Lightfoot and Rachel McAdams dropped by. The placards that hung from tents or rested on the grass—“Corporate Greed Hurts Everyone,” “Reclaim Your Life!”—could just as easily have been found in London or Atlanta or Calgary.
Almost from the beginning, critics were quick to say that Occupy Toronto was misguided and irrelevant, a copycat protest at best, and a case of rich envy at worst. Corporate kleptocracy is not nearly as bad here as it is in the United States, the argument went, and our economy has triumphantly eluded any deep, lasting meltdown. Canadian executives are not, for the most part, cut from the same overpaid, underhanded cloth as American CEOs. In Canada, super-elite is just a passenger class on Air Canada. “We obviously have a very different situation here,” Stephen Harper said in response to the claims made by Occupiers. “We didn’t bail out our banking sector. Our banking sector is the strongest in the world.” In other words, put down the sign, comrade, nothing to complain about here.
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While it’s true that economic disparity is not as pronounced in Canada as it is in the States, and the European Union could take a few pages—maybe even a whole chapter—from our playbook, the smugness is unwarranted. The Conference Board of Canada, a not-for-profit economic research organization, has found that we’ve been outpacing the U.S. in income inequality since the mid-1990s. The ratio between the top 10 per cent and the bottom 10 per cent of earners is now 10 to one (in the early ’90s, it was eight to one). The country’s wealthiest one per cent account for 32 per cent of all income growth between 1997 and 2007—the largest percentage in our recorded history. In 2010, the average Canadian income was $44,366, while that same year the average compensation for the country’s 100 highest-paid CEOs was more than $8 million. Frank Stronach, the former head of Magna International, received roughly $40 million a year over the last decade and in his last year at Magna pocketed $62 million. (In 2007, he set a Canadian record by collecting over $70 million in compensation.)
Bubble trouble: The Economist says Canada has its very own housing bubble
The Economist set off a mini media firestorm in the Great White North this week by lumping Canada in among nine countries where “home prices are overvalued by about 25 per cent or more” (the Toronto condo boom apparently isn’t helping). Canada is also part of an even more prestigious club, standing with only three other countries where “housing looks more overvalued than it was in America at the peak of its bubble.” Yipes. Not everyone is nervous though. The Star quotes Ben Myers of Urbanation, who argues that the magazine’s methodology is “flawed” and simplistic. Meanwhile, the Huffington Post Canada links to a story that claims the country’s housing market not only is strong and resilient but also has “rippling muscles.” Read the entire story [The Economist] »
(Images: Toronto skyline—Seekdes (Mike in TO); bubble—Rhett Maxwell)
Vancouver’s real estate prices drop—will Toronto’s be next?

Is Toronto in a bubble?
With repeat warnings that Toronto, like Vancouver, Montreal, Calgary and other Canadian cities, may (emphasis on may) be trapped in a housing bubble, signs of a softening real estate market in other cities can be something of a canary in the coal mine. So when word came out yesterday that the Vancouver housing market—one of the strongest in the country—dipped last month, we took note.
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Toronto condo prices may or may not fall, and Canada may or may not be facing a housing bubble: reports
The Bank of Nova Scotia wants you to know that condo prices are going to drop in Toronto—well, kind of. Sort of. Maybe. The bank released a report that the Canadian condominium market is showing signs of “oversupply,” but no harbingers of a crash. According to the Toronto Star, Adrienne Warren, a senior economist at the bank, told a real estate forum yesterday that “the current stock of unsold new homes is higher than average,” and that there’s “a situation of rising multi-housing unit inventory which has been trending up.” Though it sounds a bit dire, the translation is simply: there are slightly more condos out there than there are people who want to buy them.
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Mortgage brokers in Canada not totally useless, eh: Deloitte
For our neighbours down south, mortgage brokers have earned a reputation for being as ethical and competent as, well, the big banks they sold loans to. (Remember when Jon Stewart said AIG could change its name to “herpes” and have a stronger brand? Good times.) The situation is totally different in Canada, according to a new report from big-time analysts at Deloitte Canada. Basically, while the mortgage brokers in the U.S. have been implicated in the worst excesses of the housing bubble there, brokers in Canada have become a useful, important addition to the market, according to the Wall Street Journal.
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Good news, Toronto! When the housing bust comes, it will suck less for us than it will for Vancouver, Montreal, Edmonton and Calgary

One of the scenarios for the next four years imagined by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (Source: CCPA)
Griping about expensive housing is as traditional a sport in Toronto as griping about the TTC or the Leafs. In the past year or two, that kvetching has been supplemented with a healthy dose of worry over how bad the price drops will be in Toronto when the correction inevitably comes. No less than New York Times columnist and Nobelist Paul Krugman has warned, “Canadians spend too much relative to their household incomes, and the country’s housing bubble has yet to burst.” A new report from the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives attempts to give us some idea of what the carnage will be like. The good news is that, for Toronto at least, the drops will be relatively modest.
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Hip to be square: The Economist exposes the world’s envy of Bay Street’s boring banking
As the United States struggles through banking reform, Canada’s quick recovery from last year’s recession hasn’t exactly prompted lawmakers down south to adopt a more Canadian way of doing things. This isn’t all that shocking, since we weren’t exactly an inspiration during their messy health care debate earlier this year. Still, it’s nice that The Economist is giving us props for our even-handedness, even if the compliment is a bit backhanded.
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